Cmind’s 70%+ Accurate Mid/Large Cap EPS Predictions + This Week’s Winners & Risks

Hi everyone,

This week, alongside our latest EPS beat/miss forecasts, we’re sharing key insights from our Q1 accuracy review. The results affirm the strength of our model, particularly for large- and mid-cap names, and offer transparency into sector-level performance as we refine signals heading into the second half of 2025.

Q1 Accuracy Review

By Market Cap:

• Large Caps: >70% accuracy

• Mid Caps: >70% accuracy

• Small Caps: 63% accuracy

The model continues to perform most strongly for larger companies, where richer and more complete data sets (e.g., disclosures, analyst coverage, governance metrics) help sharpen predictions. Small-cap predictions remain solid but naturally face greater noise given less consistent data availability.

By Sector: We grouped sector performance into three bands to contextualize accuracy amid differing volatility levels:

✅ Accuracy ≥ 65%:

• Information Technology

• Industrials

• Real Estate

• Financials

• Consumer Discretionary

⚠️ Accuracy < 65% and ≥ 60%:

• Health Care

• Consumer Staples

• Communication Services

• Energy

❗ Accuracy < 60%:

• Materials

• Utilities

These results highlight where our signals can provide stronger conviction and where we recommend caution or additional due diligence.

EPS Predictions for the Week of June 23, 2025Sector Breakdown