815 Predictions. Sector Shakeups. High-Conviction Signals You Can Trade On.

Q1 Earnings Season Continues — 815 Companies in Focus

Hi everyone,

As of April 30, our EPS Beats predictor has issued updated forecasts for 815 companies reporting earnings during the week of May 5, 2025. These are early signals powered by Cmind’s proprietary methodology, which integrates fresh filings and market data daily. Forecasts are dynamic and may shift as we approach release dates, providing our clients with up-to-the-minute intelligence.

What’s New This Week

This week’s cohort includes a broad cross-section of sectors and market caps. Notably, small-cap companies dominate, accounting for 337 of the 552 predicted beats and 182 of the 263 predicted misses. Mid-cap names follow, while large caps represent the smallest share, yet may offer more signal strength on an individual basis.

Health Care leads all sectors with 164 predicted beats and only 70 misses. Information Technology remains solid with 95 beats, followed by Financials and Consumer Discretionary.

Prediction Quality and Confidence

Out of the 552 predicted beats, 50 are flagged as Very Likely Beats, our model’s highest-confidence category. These names are spread across sectors, with clusters in Health Care and Information Technology.

Meanwhile, 241 companies fall into the Marginal zone, where the outcome is less decisive. These cases warrant closer monitoring, as forecast trajectories may shift as earnings day nears.

Notably, no mid-cap companies this week are flagged as Very Likely Misses, a change from last week, when several small-cap and Materials names showed strong downside risk. This shift suggests a broader tone of cautious optimism heading into early May.

Market Outlook

• Small Caps dominate this week’s volume, accounting for 61% of predicted beats (337) and nearly 69% of misses (182). This reflects both their breadth and their volatility, with high dispersion across outcomes.

• Mid Caps show a strongly positive signal, with 159 predicted beats versus just 55 misses—a ratio of nearly 3:1. This group includes several Real Estate, Consumer Discretionary, and Financial names flashing high-confidence upside.

• Large Caps are fewer in number but remain notable, with 56 beats and 26 misses. While the sample is smaller, many of these names have elevated relevance for portfolio concentration and macro sensitivity.

Sector Outlook

• Health Care: The clear standout this week, with strong signal volume and confidence. Over 57% of its 164 reporting companies are predicted beats.

• Information Technology: High beat count, but more dispersed confidence levels—nearly half sit in the marginal zone.

• Financials & Industrials: High volume, but mixed signals—these sectors require selective stock-level analysis.

• Utilities & Materials: The weakest signals this week, with beat/miss ratios near even and few high-conviction forecasts.

Sectors Mostly to Beat or Miss Expectations