Cmind’s Edge: Outperforming SPY and Spotting This Week’s Top Beats

Last week, we shared the results of independent third-party backtesting on Cmind’s EPS Prediction Beats (“EPSPB”). The conclusion was clear: when applied systematically, our signals don’t just identify short-term opportunities—they compound into sustained alpha.

• EPSPB Strategy 7-Year Return: +324%

• SPY (Buy & Hold): +136%

This outperformance underscores why our weekly outlook matters. Each set of earnings releases is another chance to apply a signal that has proven, over time, to deliver real edge.

With that in mind, let’s turn to this week’s earnings calendar and model predictions.

This Week’s Earnings at a Glance

Sector Breakdown

This week’s signals skew heavily toward Industrials and Information Technology, where several names show strong probabilities of beating. Notable upside signals appear in MU, AIR, and WOR, suggesting strength in semiconductors and manufacturing.

On the flip side, Consumer Discretionary remains fragile, with misses concentrated in names like AZO and KBH. Energy and Materials also show more cautious reads, reflecting broader market uncertainty.

Market Cap Breakdown

• Large Caps: Micron (MU), Accenture (ACN), and Costco (COST) headline large-cap predictions with favorable signals.

• Mid Caps: Jabil (JBL) and Steelcase (SCS) stand out in Industrials, while Thor Industries (THO) leans toward weakness.

• Small Caps: As usual, dispersion is sharp—selective conviction beats (AIR, WOR) balanced against high-probability misses (SNX, MSS).

Overall, the model flags more beats than misses this week, particularly in Industrials and IT.

🔝 Top 5 Predicted Beats This Week

• SFIX – 80% – Consumer Discretionary

• AIR – 75% – Industrials

• MU – 76% – Information Technology

• WOR – 70% – Industrials

• ACN – 67% – Information Technology

🔻 Top 5 Predicted Misses This Week

• MSS – 21% – Consumer Staples

• SNX – 28% – Information Technology

• AZO – 32% – Consumer Discretionary

• KBH – 35% – Consumer Discretionary

• RAVE – 39% – Consumer Discretionary

Weekly Heatmap

The heatmap shows clusters of strong beats in Industrials and IT while misses concentrate in Consumer Discretionary and select Staples.

Individual Stock Predictions

Large Caps

• Micron (MU): Beat probability 76%—semiconductors remain resilient.

• Accenture (ACN): Beat probability 67%—enterprise IT spending steadier than expected.

• Costco (COST): Beat probability 53%—consumer staples demand holding up despite macro volatility.

Mid Caps

• Jabil (JBL): Beat probability 66%—strength in diversified manufacturing.

• Steelcase (SCS): Beat probability 57%—moderate upside in Industrials.

• Thor Industries (THO): Beat probability 42%—consumer discretionary weakness showing.

Small Caps

• Air Industries (AIR): Beat probability 75%—high-conviction call in Industrials.

• Worthington (WOR): Beat probability 70%—another standout in Industrials.

• MSS: Beat probability 21%—one of the clearest miss signals this week.

About the Model

Cmind AI’s EPS predictions are powered by a machine learning model built for accuracy, objectivity, and transparency. It integrates five data modalities and over 150 variables—including historical financials, corporate governance factors, and earnings call transcripts—to generate early, company-specific forecasts. Predictions are updated daily following 10-Q filings, covering more than 4,400 publicly traded companies, far beyond the reach of most traditional analysts. Every forecast includes clear explanatory variables, offering not just a number, but insight. The model also enables trend analysis across tickers, sectors, indices, and portfolios—and backtesting shows it can significantly enhance investment performance, improving Sharpe and Sortino ratios.

To learn more about Cmind AI please contact us at [email protected]